NCAAF Cheat Sheet

Just some number crunching to show the quality of my win predictor model. You can double check these numbers by seeing the publicly available leaderboard.


Games start from Week 7 of the College Football Season and continue to the end of the season. 


Games are only included if they are not at a neutral site and are not predicted ending in a tie.


Overall W-L
  • 585-242 (70.7% Correct)

W-L by Season
  • 2023: 282-119 (70.3% Correct)
  • 2024: 303-123 (71.1% Correct)


W-L by Week
  • Week 7: 66-34 (66% Correct)
    • 2023: 29-23 (55.8% Correct)
    • 2024: 37-11 (77.1% Correct)

  • Week 8: 74-30 (71.2% Correct)
    • 2023: 37-12 (75.5% Correct)
    • 2024: 37-18 (67.3% Correct)

  • Week 9: 68-33 (67.3% Correct)
    • 2023: 34-18 (65.4% Correct)
    • 2024: 34-15 (69.4% Correct)

  • Week 10: 66-39 (62.9% Correct)
    • 2023: 39-21 (65% Correct)
    • 2024: 27-18 (60% Correct)

  • Week 11: 83-26 (76.1% Correct)
    • 2023: 43-18 (70.5% Correct)
    • 2024: 40-8 (83.3% Correct)

  • Week 12: 86-28 (75.4% Correct)
    • 2023: 48-14 (77.4% Correct)
    • 2024: 38-14 (73.1% Correct)

  • Week 13: 84-34 (71.2% Correct)
    • 2023: 48-12 (80% Correct)
    • 2024: 36-22 (62.1% Correct)

  • Week 14: 48-16 (75% Correct)
    • 2024: 48-16 (75% Correct)

W-L by xMargin
  • 1 to 3: 157-99 (61.3% Correct)
  • 4 to 7: 183-87 (67.8% Correct)
  • 8 to 10: 109-31 (77.9% Correct)
  • 11 to 14: 88-18 (83% Correct)
  • 15 to 21: 40-7 (85.1% Correct)
  • 22 or Higher: 9-0 (100% Correct)

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